Connected Markets
Chronomancy reads positions from external prediction markets to power the Chrono Score engine and enable module activation (Rewind insurance, Fast-Forward early exit, etc.). All reads are non-custodial — the protocol never takes custody of the underlying positions.
Polymarket
Section titled “Polymarket”Polymarket uses ERC-1155 Conditional Tokens Framework (CTF) on Polygon.
| Contract | Address |
|---|---|
| CTF Contract | 0x4D97DCd97eC945f40cF65F87097ACe5EA0476045 |
| CTF Exchange | 0x4bFb41d5B3570DeFd03C39a9A4D8dE6Bd8B8982E |
| NegRisk Adapter | 0xd91E80cF2E7be2e162c6513ceD06f1dD0dA35296 |
Position Reading
Section titled “Position Reading”Chronomancy reads positions using three CTF functions:
| Function | Purpose |
|---|---|
payoutNumerators(conditionId, index) | Read resolution outcome |
balanceOf(user, positionId) | Verify user still holds position |
positionId = keccak256(collateralToken, conditionId, indexSet) | Derive position identifier |
Because CTF does not enumerate tokenIds held by a wallet on-chain, Chronomancy uses a subgraph query to index the CTF contract and reconstruct a user’s full position history.
Precedents
Section titled “Precedents”This read pattern is already in production:
- Gondor ($2.5M raised) reads Polymarket ERC-1155 positions for lending (Morpho-based)
- PolyLend (open-sourced by Polymarket) demonstrates the same CTF position reading
CLOB Order Data
Section titled “CLOB Order Data”Polymarket’s Central Limit Order Book (CLOB) is used for Fast-Forward pricing:
- Liquid markets (US elections, NBA): spreads of ~0.3c
- Illiquid long-tail: spreads of up to 34c (round-trip cost ~50% of position value)
The spread range is the arbitrage opportunity the FF vault targets.
Azuro uses ERC-721 bet NFTs on Polygon, Gnosis, Base, and Chiliz.
| Feature | Details |
|---|---|
| Position type | ERC-721 (fully enumerable) |
| Enumeration | balanceOf() + tokenOfOwnerByIndex() = full portfolio |
| Liquidity model | Singleton pool (unified counterparty) |
| Pricing | vAMM |
| LP APY | 15–20% |
The singleton pool architecture makes Azuro the cleanest model for how the Fast-Forward vault should work: a unified counterparty across thousands of markets earns the spread between initial odds and actual resolution outcomes.
Kalshi
Section titled “Kalshi”Kalshi is the highest-valuation prediction market platform ($5B), CFTC-regulated, with $23.8B total volume.
| Feature | Details |
|---|---|
| Position type | SPL tokens on Solana (December 2025 tokenization) |
| Trading | Tradeable on Jupiter |
| Regulation | CFTC-approved |
| Market mix | 89%+ sports, growing event coverage |
| Builder grants | $2M available |
Kalshi’s December 2025 SPL token launch on Solana opens a cross-chain opportunity: the patient-counterparty model (Fast-Forward vault) becomes feasible across both EVM and Solana ecosystems. This is a medium-term integration milestone.
Integration Roadmap
Section titled “Integration Roadmap”| Phase | Markets | Integration Type |
|---|---|---|
| Phase 0 | Polymarket | Read-only subgraph (Chrono Score) |
| Phase 1 | Polymarket | Read + CTF position transfer (FF vault) |
| Phase 2 | Polymarket | Full (Rewind insurance + claims) |
| Phase 3+ | Azuro, Kalshi | Multi-platform Chrono Score + modules |
Related:
- Hub Architecture — how the platform connects to these markets
- Smart Contracts — the on-chain architecture for CTF integration